Monitor macroeconomic risk in real-time with 7 proven recession prediction methodologies and over 50 economic indicators. From yield curve inversions to leading indicators — know when the macro environment shifts before markets react.
Everything you need
7 Recession Models
Sahm Rule, yield curve, LEI, and more — each with historical accuracy rates and current readings.
50+ Economic Indicators
Employment, housing, manufacturing, consumer sentiment — all updated automatically from FRED.
Composite Risk Score
Single risk score aggregating all models and indicators for quick macro health assessment.
Historical Cycle Overlays
Compare current indicator levels against previous recession lead-ups for pattern recognition.
Fed Policy Tracker
Monitor rate expectations, balance sheet changes, and forward guidance shifts in real-time.
Macro Event Calendar
Never miss an important economic release with our curated calendar and impact estimates.
How it works
Recession Probability Dashboard
Seven independent recession models running simultaneously — from the Sahm Rule to yield curve inversions. Each model displays its current reading, historical accuracy, and probability estimate.
Leading Indicators Panel
50+ economic indicators updated automatically from FRED, organized by category. Employment, housing, manufacturing, and consumer data — all in one view with trend arrows and historical context.
Fed Policy & Event Calendar
Track Fed rate expectations, balance sheet changes, and upcoming economic releases. Never be caught off guard by a surprise data print or policy shift.
Macroeconomic Risk Scorecard on TradingView
MRS is available as a published TradingView indicator. Add it to your charts directly from the TradingView script library and use it alongside your existing analysis workflow.
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