Which of these chess openings will be played in the Candidates?
Prediction market on manifold. The market refers to the 2026 Candidates tournament, occuring between March 28 and April 16, to decide the challenger to the world chess championship. Which of these openings will be played in the tournament? Please write a comment below if you have any suggestions. I will use my best judgement to resolve in case there is any ambiguity. In general, transpositions count towards an opening, e.g. 1. d4 e6 2. Nc3 d5 3. e4 will count as a French Defense (Paulsen variation) even though it uses an unconventional move order with 1.d4. I am only considering openings played in the open section.
24h Volume: $581.326. Liquidity: $775. Resolves: 4/30/2026.