Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of Apr 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Apr 30 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high. If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50% AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high (Not: 1.01 × closing value > all-time high) [AI additions after this are not necessarily correct]
24h Volume: $260.392. Liquidity: $100. Resolves: 4/4/2026.