Will the S&P 500 Index post a daily close strictly below 4,800.00 on any trading day before May 1, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. This question tracks whether U.S. equities experience a severe selloff by late April 2026. `{"format":"bot_tournament_question","info":{"hash_id":"c4a92c6c2189cd01","sheet_id":490.1}}`

Resolves: 5/1/2026.