Who will the documentary "Finding Satoshi" name as Satoshi Nakamoto?
Prediction market on manifold. A new documentary promises to unravel the mystery of Satoshi Nakamoto's identity. The expected release date is 4/22/2026: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08&t=1s If the movie gives an answer or, at least, a favorite choice, then I will resolve it to that name. If the movie names a specific group of people, I will resolve each of them equally. If the movie does not name a definite or favorite candidate, I will resolve to "movie does not give an answer" Feel free to add more names, or to ask me to do so. Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple people are named as Satoshi: If all are on the list, resolves equally to each listed person If some are not on the list, "Other" gains the weight of unlisted people If a specific unnamed group is named (e.g. "the CIA"), resolves to "Other" If multiple people are implied but none specifically named, resolves to "Movie does not give an answer" Update 2026-04-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "Invalid" answer (and similar troll submissions) will resolve to zero. Update 2026-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has not yet watched the film. Based on market price action, the creator guesses the film named a Hal Finney/Len Sassaman joint effort, which would resolve at 50% for each name. The market will not close until the creator watches the film or sees an authoritative account of who it named.
24h Volume: $19,507.643. Liquidity: $11,600. Resolves: 4/30/2026.