Will the International Criminal Court open a formal investigation into alleged crimes linked to the 2026 Iran conflict before May 1, 2026?
Prediction market on metaculus. This tracks whether the Court moves from monitoring or preliminary steps to a full criminal investigation tied to the conflict. `{"format":"bot_tournament_question","info":{"hash_id":"aeabf33e7e823b24","sheet_id":518.0}}`
Resolves: 5/1/2026.