Will Anthropic publicly release an Opus-class Claude model newer than Claude Opus 4.6 or Sonnet 4.6 before May 1, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.5 in late 2025, Claude Opus 4.6 on February 5, 2026, and Claude Sonnet 4.6 on February 17, 2026. Meanwhile, OpenAI released GPT-5.4 on March 5 and Google released Gemini 3.1 Pro on February 19. That competitive tempo makes a short-horizon Anthropic follow-up informative: it would tell forecasters whether frontier-model release cycles are accelerating even further. A nearly identical question would have resolved Yes on February 5, 2026 when Anthropic launched Claude Opus 4.6, after previously resolving Yes on the launch of Claude Opus 4.5. `{"format":"bot_tournament_question","info":{"hash_id":"38a65566e3daaa0d","sheet_id":532.0}}`

Resolves: 5/1/2026.