Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

Prediction market on polymarket. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pope Leo XIV publishes his encyclical by May 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For a letter to qualify it must be commonly understood as an encyclical or declared as an encyclical upon release. Other forms of papal brief, such as a papal bull, will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.

24h Volume: $101.53. Liquidity: $283.585. Resolves: 5/15/2026.