🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
Prediction market on manifold. Each option resolves yes when he makes statements or actions that act as evidence They can be based off statements (Trump calls for...) or for actions he actually follows through on In the case where he cant directly do it, getting his Congress or proxy to do so will be enough Will make a poll for individual options if unsure Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only statements made while Trump is serving as President will count toward resolving statement-based answers; older or non-presidency quotes do not. Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory option, drone strikes count. Any aggressive long-range attack that destroys or injures something inside Mexico counts (e.g., airstrikes, bombs, missile or drone strikes). Update 2025-08-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the "coin or bill with his image" option: only circulating currency counts (coins/bills intended for general circulation by the government). Commemorative/non-circulating issues do not count; laws authorizing only commemoratives also do not count. Update 2025-08-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the option 'request and successfully redraw 1/2 or more state districts': "1/2 or more" refers to the number of states, not the number of individual districts. Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the "order the arrest of a governor by name" option: statements like a governor "should be" arrested do not count. It must be a clear, explicit order/command to arrest a named governor.
24h Volume: $5,170.956. Liquidity: $6,125. Resolves: 12/31/2028.