Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?

Prediction market on manifold. I will add new ballot measure strikes as they meet the requirements to appear on the ballot, and rename them once their ballot name and number are available. If a listed measure ends up not being on the ballot I will resolve that strike to NO, though I will try not to list any measures I am not reasonably confident will end up on the ballot.

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $13,000. Resolves: 11/17/2026.