When will my kid be born?

Prediction market on manifold. My kid was conceived August 16. I ovulated on August 17. Due date calculated based on ovulation date is May 10, i.e. someone with a "normal" menstrual cycle would have had their last period begin August 3 if they ovulated on August 17. I'm 31, I'll be 32 when the kid is born, and this is my first pregnancy. April 12 = 36 weeks ... May 3 = 39 weeks May 10 = 40 weeks (due date) Conception market for context: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-my-friend-get-pregnant-market-LyZIyqnAug?r=TW9sbHlIaWNrbWFu Will annull if I miscarry. At this time (9 weeks 5 days) my miscarriage odds are less than 2.5% Update 2025-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market uses thresholds (not buckets). Each date option will resolve YES if the birth occurs before or on that date, and NO if it occurs after that date. Update 2025-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution mechanism: Each date option will resolve YES if the birth occurs before or on that date, and NO if it occurs after that date. This market uses thresholds (not buckets).

24h Volume: $24,922.192. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 5/25/2026.