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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tirante” if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins set 4. It will resolve to “Mannarino” if Adrian Mannarino wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Resolves: 9/6/2026.