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Prediction market on polymarket_us. If Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The specified person or organization will be considered to have won the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize if they are announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee as the sole or joint recipient of the Prize. Membership or leadership in an organization that receives the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize will not count for settlement.
Resolves: 10/23/2026.