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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Moonshot has the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI Text Arena leaderboard on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (Style Control Off). Outcome sourced from Arena AI. The #1 ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Text Arena leaderboard, with Style Control toggled off (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control). If multiple models from different companies are tied for rank #1, the model with the highest Score will be considered the #1-ranked model (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard). If a tie remains, the company whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order will be considered the winner.
Resolves: 1/14/2027.