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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Yair Lapid is the first individual to formally assume the office of Prime Minister of Israel as part of government formation following the next Israeli Parliamentary election. Outcome sourced from the Government of Israel. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the settlement of this market. If the next Israeli parliamentary election takes place, and a new election is called prior to any individual formally assuming the office of Prime Minister of Israel, this market will settle based on the next individual to assume the office as part of government formation following the new election.
Resolves: 11/10/2026.