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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona is above 2,150,000 (2.15M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Resolves: 11/17/2026.