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Prediction market on polymarket_us. If John Castaneda wins by decision in the John Castaneda vs Alatengheili UFC fight, scheduled for September 26, this market will settle to Yes. A decision is defined as a result determined by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds have been completed, in which John Castaneda is declared the winner by unanimous decision (all three judges score in John Castaneda's favor), majority decision (two judges score in John Castaneda's favor and one judge scores it a draw), or split decision (two judges score in John Castaneda's favor and one judge scores for the opponent). A technical decision, where the fight is stopped due to an accidental foul after enough rounds have been completed for the judges to render a decision and John Castaneda is declared the winner on the scorecards, also counts as a win by decision. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizers. If the bout is declared a No Contest by the governing body due to an accidental foul, a pre-existing injury, or any other circumstance that prevents a definitive result from being determined, this market will settle to fair market price, as determined by the Exchange. Any post-fight changes to the official result, including overturned decisions or retroactive No Contest rulings following a failed drug test, will not affect settlement once the market has already settled. If the UFC fight is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the fight is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window results in resolution at the last fair market price.
Resolves: 10/10/2026.