Macroeconomic Risk Scorecard (MRS)

Live macroeconomic risk analysis powered by Federal Reserve (FRED) data. Monitors 50+ indicators including interest rates, inflation, yield curves, credit spreads, and central bank balance sheets to assess macro conditions for crypto and traditional markets.

Key Features

• 7 recession probability models with historical accuracy tracking
• 50+ macroeconomic indicators from FRED, ECB, and global central banks
• Multi-country analysis (US, EU, UK, Japan, China)
• Interest rate forecasting and yield curve analysis
• Credit stress monitoring (CDS spreads, high-yield spreads)
• Dollar index (DXY) and global liquidity tracking
• Interactive charts

Primary Data Sources

MRS ingests data directly from primary sources trusted by economists and central banks. Inflation series come from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index release, GDP data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, yield-curve spreads from the FRED 10Y-2Y Treasury spread (T10Y2Y), and policy-rate expectations from the Federal Reserve FOMC calendar.