Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Prediction market on manifold. Original Lesswrong thread here. Original tweet here: [image]Unlinked market with shorter timeframes here: @/Joshua/when-will-we-know-that-any-past-ufo

24h Volume: $53,569.171. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 7/19/2028.