Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. NOTE: This market includes any autonomous ride in a Tesla, not just the robotaxi service! Waymo claims 700k fully autonomous rides in 2023, which was more than ~0 Tesla rides that were fully autonomous in 2023. To define fully autonomous, I'll use the following definition: No human operates any direct controls inside the vehicle like the steering wheel or pedals No human in the car actively monitors the driving being ready to intervene Must be of a non-trivial distance (e.g. crossing the parking lot does not count) Can't be in a fixed track, like the Las Vegas Loop See also: @/JamesGrugett/will-tesla-serve-more-fully-autonom I will delay resolution until both companies report results or until the result is extremely clear, or until it's January 2028, where I'll make an informed guess.

24h Volume: $1,475.743. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.