Will Marjorie Taylor Greene seek a statewide elected office in Georgia before 2029?

Prediction market on metaculus. *This forecasting question is associated with the Verity controversy: Will Marjorie Taylor Greene seek higher office in Georgia, including a U.S. Senate run?* [Marjorie Taylor Greene](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marjorie_Taylor_Greene?) is a Republican politician who was first elected in 2020 to represent Georgia’s 14th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives, a strongly Republican northwest Georgia seat. She won [reelection in 2024](https://www.kbtx.com/2024/11/06/republican-marjorie-taylor-greene-wins-reelection-us-house-georgias-14th-congressional-district/) with a large majority, continuing her profile as a polarizing national figure aligned with conservative and pro-Trump politics. [Her time in office drew attention for controversial statements and strong partisan advocacy.](https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/some-marjorie-taylor-greenes-most-controversial-statements-claims) In late 2025, Greene announced she would [resign from Congress effective January 5, 2026,](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/marjorie-taylor-greene-resigning-from-congress/?) citing disagreements with Republican leadership and a public rift with former President Donald Trump as key factors in her decision. Under the U.S. Constitution, [House vacancies must be filled by election rather than appointment](https://www.atlantanewsfirst.com/2025/11/22/marjorie-taylor-greene-resigns-now-what/?).  Following her resignation, Georgia [Governor Brian Kemp](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_Kemp) issued the required writ for a [special election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Georgia%27s_14th_congressional_district_special_election); it is set for March 10, 2026, with a runoff scheduled for April 7, 2026 if no candidate wins a majority. All candidates will appear on a single ballot in this contest to fill the remainder of Greene’s term in the U.S. House. The district, with a strong Republican lean ([Cook PVI R+19](https://www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi)), has seen multiple contenders file for this special election. Before her resignation, there was speculation Greene might pursue higher statewide office such as the U.S. Senate or governor’s mansion in the 2026 elections. However, she [publicly declined to run for the U.S. Senate in 2026](https://www.atlantanewsfirst.com/2025/07/29/marjorie-taylor-greene-will-not-run-georgia-governor-she-says/), including a potential challenge to Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff, and also [ruled out a bid for Georgia governor in that cycle](https://georgiarecorder.com/briefs/u-s-rep-marjorie-taylor-greene-says-shell-skip-georgias-2026-race-for-governor/), saying she did not intend to seek either office. With Greene no longer in Congress and the special election underway to choose her successor, she is not a candidate in the 2026 Senate or gubernatorial races. [Discussions about her long-term political future](https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/11/48678276/marjorie-taylor-greene-shuts-down-2028-presidential-rumors-im-focused-on-is-being-a-representative?) — including speculation about potential future campaigns beyond 2026 — have surfaced in media commentary, but she has not made any formal or confirmed announcements about seeking higher office such as a Senate campaign.

Resolves: 11/8/2027.