Will restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church be loosened during 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. Within the Catholic Church, a [Mass](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_in_the_Catholic_Church) is a ceremony where a priest conducts a series of prayers, chants, and rituals in which bread and wine are said to become the body and blood of Jesus. Originally codified in 1570, the [Traditional Latin Mass](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tridentine_Mass), also known as the Tridentine Mass or Traditional Rite was historically the most common [liturgy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catholic_liturgy) within the Catholic Church. In 1969, following its [promulgation](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Promulgation_\(Catholic_canon_law\)), the [Mass of Paul VI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_of_Paul_VI), also known as the Novus Ordo largely displaced the Tridentine Mass, with it becoming the most commonly used mass today. Although fading from its past prominence, the Tridentine Mass remains a key point among [Traditionalist Catholics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Traditionalist_Catholicism) with significant parts of the Church still practicing it regularly. On July 16, 2021, [Pope Francis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pope_Francis) released the [Traditionis custodes](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Traditionis_custodes) an apostolic letter that introduces significant restrictions on the use of the Tridentine Mass. With the election of [Pope Leo XIV](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pope_Leo_XIV), speculation has emerged of a possible loosening of restrictions, with him so far indicating a softening but not a revocation of the changes.

Resolves: 1/1/2027.