Will a UFC mixed martial arts event occur at the White House in 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. The [Ultimate Fighting Championship](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultimate_Fighting_Championship) (UFC) is a mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion founded in 1993. The UFC has held [over 700 events](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_UFC_events) through the end of 2025. UFC events have taken place in various locations, with events in 2025 having taken place in the US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, China, Australia, the UK, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Azerbaijan. In July 2025, [US President Donald Trump suggested that a UFC event would be held at the White House](https://www.mmafighting.com/2025/7/3/24461432/president-trump-reveals-plans-to-hold-a-ufc-event-at-the-white-house-in-2026). In October 2025, [Trump said the event would take place on June 14, 2026](https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/story/sports/ufc/2025/10/06/donald-trump-ufc-white-house-event-date-birthday/86548457007/), Trump's 80th birthday.

Resolves: 1/1/2027.