Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Prediction market on manifold. This market's resolution piggybacks on Jeff Atwood and John Carmack's bet documented on the Coding Horror blog: https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/ However they resolve their bet is how this market resolves.
Liquidity: $2,253.236. Resolves: 1/1/2030.