William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Prediction market on manifold. William Baude is a legal scholar, podcaster at Divided Argument, and Manifold user. On the podcast, it is often brought up that he is not a member of the Supreme Court Bar. Will he be admitted to the Supreme Court Bar before the end of 2030? Resolves according to my best judgement.

Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 12/31/2030.