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Will Polymarket or Kalshi make a whalebait market in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Markets like "Resolves YES if this market closes at above 50%" or "Resolves NO if the market drops below 10%" or something would qualify. The current derivative market on the Jesus Christ market (https://polymarket.com/event/jesus-christ-return-before-2027-odds-5-monday-night-12-1-am) would NOT qualify, but only ever so slightly. I will not bet on this market, so I can judge what constitutes whalebait objectively.

Liquidity: $105. Resolves: 12/31/2026.

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