If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
Prediction market on manifold. Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee. Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?" I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers. Base rate: (https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)
Liquidity: $2,100. Resolves: 2/19/2029.