Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves yes if they are the nominee and win the presidency. Resolves no if they are the nominee and lose the presidency. Resolve N/A if they are not the nominee. Nominee being the person selected at the DNC as the presidential candidate. If the results of the election are overturned but they distribution of votes corresponds to a majority of electors, then that counts as winning.
Liquidity: $1,100. Resolves: 12/31/2028.