Will I be able to purchase 1 kg of tungsten for under 150$ by 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Form of tungsten: Must be close to pure (concentration > 97%) Purchase method: Must be purchasable from a reputable online supplier (defined as having sold over 500kg of tungsten previously) and shipped to the creator's location. Purchase must occur before 2029; shipment can arrive later. Pricing: Nominal USD Resolution trigger: The creator must actually make the purchase. If a valid source is posted, the creator will likely buy within 48 hours of the post. Update 2026-03-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Location: Creator is based in the United States Shipping costs: Do not count toward the $150 limit unless shipping makes up more than 25% of the total expense Update 2026-03-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Bulk purchases allowed: The creator is willing to make large bulk purchases to qualify for the price threshold (i.e., the per-kg price from a bulk order can count toward resolution).

24h Volume: $250. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 12/31/2028.