By 2030, will 50% or more of GiveWell's top charities include a WELLBY-based cost-effectiveness analysis alongside or instead of DALY-based analysis?

Prediction market on metaculus. GiveWell.org rates charities, and classify some charities as "top charities". As of the question set date, they mainly do not focus on self-reported well-being measures such as the WELLBY.   (See the resolution criteria for more details.)

Resolves: 1/15/2030.