Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?
Prediction market on manifold. Uploading: scanning the structure of a brain in sufficient resolution and using it as input to a simulation which results in consciousness similar to the original brain. Related: (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/conditional-on-uploading-tech-will)
Liquidity: $1,010. Resolves: 1/1/2100.