Products

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2033?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves as YES if at least one million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2033. Different years: @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-a408a64f3756 @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact @/RemNi/will-1-million-humanoid-robots-be-m @/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0f2acadab75f @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-04a4cc646b5b (this question) @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-b852297a6f2a Other reference points for manufacture of 1M humanoid robots: @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-5272497e9ab8 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-1m-humanoid Other questions for 2033: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2033 @/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-2a1f4da84a39 @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-2f90be5ca48d @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9 @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-df3792742b47 @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b These humanoid robots must meet specific criteria to be counted towards this total. Each robot must be bipedal, walking upright on two legs in a manner that broadly resembles human walking. Additionally, each robot must be equipped with hands capable of manipulating objects. The hands should have fingers or similar appendages, allowing them to grip, hold, and interact with various items. Each robot must be capable of autonomous function without external power for a duration of at least 1 hour in order to qualify in the context of this question. Each robot must be between 1.25 and 3 meters tall when standing up, and weigh between 25 and 500 kg. Furthermore, each robot must be able to lift a 5kg box off the floor and walk with it for 10 meters in order to qualify.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 3/1/2033.

Blockcircle
Quantitative tools and real-time data for crypto and macro markets. Scorecards, trade signals, and research in one platform.
Trade
Whale AlphaPrediction AlphaPolitical AlphaInsider AlphaTrade Alpha
Discover
Momentum Trading EngineAsset Outperformer EngineMarket Reversal EngineAlpha Hunter SuiteMarket Analysis
Scorecards
Global Liquidity ScorecardMacroeconomic Risk ScorecardAltcoin Market Scorecard
Resources
Pulse DashboardEcosystem StatsTrending MarketsUser GuidesTrading CourseOpen SourceBlog and News
Company
About UsPricingInstitutionalContactTerms & ConditionsPrivacy Policy
© 2026 Blockcircle. All rights reserved.