Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves Yes if >50% of humanity's population is killed in a 12 month time period and I think it >30% likely that the root cause was misaligned AI. If I am dead then Manifold can resolve based on Lesswrong community sentiment or a poll with a 30% threshold. See also: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ahalekelly/will-misaligned-ai-kill-50-of-the-h-53baa02e69ba)

Liquidity: $1,180. Resolves: 12/31/2039.