Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
Prediction market on manifold. Based off (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)Resolves YES to each half-year this is possible. Resolves NO to each half year its not possible.
Liquidity: $7,040. Resolves: 10/17/2029.