What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?
Prediction market on manifold. Buy/sell these outcomes to the probabilities you consider appropriate. Mar 25, 6:05am: What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes? → What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?
Liquidity: $2,160. Resolves: 1/1/2301.