Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
Prediction market on manifold. Essential prerequisites of utopia for humans: - Aging is abolished for at least 99% of humans. - Involuntary suffering is abolished for at least 90% of humans. - Average annual risk of death for humans falls below 1/2000. - No dystopian unintended consequences such as "everyone is hooked up to a heroin dispenser" or "a significant fraction of the population is killed and uploaded as slave against their will". Here "utopia" should be understood as something relatively non-demanding. Becoming a multi-planetary species is, for example, not necessary. Neither is mind uploading. Neither is abolishing death or suffering altogether. The only necessary requisites are the ones listed above. I understand the definition is still vague, especially because of the last requisite, but I'm OK with predictors filling the remaining gaps and potentially predicting according to conflicting definitions of utopia.
Liquidity: $1,775. Resolves: 12/31/2100.