Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2040? ($1k mana subsidy)
Prediction market on manifold. Commonplace is going to be a subjective measurement. It is more common than something rare. Upon seeing something commonplace, one does not seem very surprised to see that something's presence, usually. One tends to get used to a commonplace something as another aspect of life.
Liquidity: $1,290.5. Resolves: 1/2/2040.