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Will Gene McCarthy's DNA analysis of humans as bonobo/pig hybrids be confirmed by 2030?

Prediction market on manifold. In 2013, geneticist Eugene McCarthy published a theory (link) about human origins, which I'll summarize: A female bonobo mated with a male pig, and their offspring interbred with bonobos for several generations. The resulting mostly-bonobo, part-pig hybrid is the ancestor of Homo, explaining key anatomical differences between humans and other primates. McCarthy was generally mocked for the theory, (e.g. see Richard Dawkin's tweet from 2013). A couple months ago, McCarthy posted a followup study analyzing DNA instead of just anatomical traits. A quote from the conclusion: So, the results of this study indicate that essentially all the nucleotide positions that differ in humans and bonobos, are the same in humans and pigs. Will this finding be checked by anyone else, and will they find the same result? Resolves YES if someone else compares the triad of bonobo (or chimp)/pig/human DNA and they get essentially the same result. Resolves NO if no one else does the study or if they get pretty different results. Since who counts as a replicator, and how different the results need to be before they are really different is a judgement call, I will not vote on this poll. I hope there will be consensus on how this should be resolved when the time comes.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2030.

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