Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?
Prediction market on manifold. For example, Venus, Ceres, or Enceladus would count, but Phobos would not (too small). For Venus, a blimp will could as landing. (Earth does not count lol)
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2051.