Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Prediction market on manifold. What does "75%" mean in a surgical procedure?: if the surgery includes steps 1 to 4, 1 to 4 are equal in time, and the robot does 3 of the 4 stages. That's 75% of the surgery. Autonomously: a close loop system, using classical control theory or a multimodal machine learning model. Conditions: YES: Any surgery, anywhere, during a preclinical study under ethical and regulatory oversight. The first use is communicated via a medical journal case study or a medical society conference presentation. ***No ethical or regulatory oversight invalidates the result***. It's still a YES with or without human operator oversight (meaning: the surgeon is present to take over in case of something going wrong). NO: The autonomous part of the robotic procedure is less than 75% of the procedure. ***The bet excludes existing semi-autonomous systems that already exist: LASIX, orthopaedic drilling or hardware insertion/fixation, endovascular, bronchoscopy, endouro, gastrointestinal endoscopy.***

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/28/2029.