Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?
Prediction market on manifold. https://www.nasa.gov/general/lunar-crater-radio-telescope-lcrt-on-the-far-side-of-the-moon/ Resolves Yes if there's any hardware on site before 2040. Surveyors/flybys/drivebys don't count, the hardware has to be a start at building the telescope, not just assessing the possibility. Any preliminary landscaping for the purposes of building the telescope resolves Yes.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2039.