Will Lord of the rings: The Hunt for Gollum (2026) have ≥7.5 on IMDB 30 days after US release?
Prediction market on manifold. Title might change according to news, will also try to update IMDB page when properly up. I expect to bet on this market, as resolution is objective enough.
Liquidity: $100. Resolves: 1/1/2027.