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When will a Mission: Impossible film be released without Tom Cruise as Ethan Hunt?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES for all years at or above the first year in which a Mission Impossible movie is released without Tom Cruise playing Ethan Hunt, and NO for other years. For a movie to count, it has to be made with a budget comparable to that of the current movies.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2031.

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