Will Victor Orban run for president position by 2030?
Prediction market on manifold. Currently president position is symbolic in Hungary. It is speculated by some journalists he may attempt to increase the power of the president while he is prime minister, and then run for the president position to stay in power. Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve by the end of 2029 (when the next indirect voting for president takes place). Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve early if Orban dies Market can resolve YES even if Hungary splits, gets renamed, or changes constitution (does not require Orban to be president of the same state)
Liquidity: $100. Resolves: 12/31/2029.