Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
Prediction market on manifold. I've met a good number of people, some more often than others, working on campaigns across several states. What are the odds I have met a future US President? Must be someone who has attended a private event with where I was present (virtual events count if they were there live and conversing with people), talked to me directly on the phone, or had a direct conversation with me at a public event. I will edit in more people when I meet them, I intend to keep working on campaigns until at least the end of 2026 and possible through 2028. I'm currently working in Pennsylvania for the next few months and I'll be working on a campaign in Indiana for the rest of the year. I only work for Democratic campaigns Some people I have met, under this definition: Vice President Kamala Harris Governor Josh Shapiro Governor Steve Bullock Senator John Fetterman Senator Raphael Warnock Senator Chuck Schumer Lt. Governor Austin Davis Congressman Brian Higgins Congressman Patrick Murphy Executive Mark Poloncarz Mayor John Street Mayor Michael Nutter Mayor Paul Dyster Mayor Michelle Roman Mayor Austin Tylec Controller Rebecca Rhynhart State Senator Nikil Saval State Senator Sharif Street State Senator Steve Santasiero State Representative Elizabeth Fiedler State Representative Joe Hohenstein State Representative Tim Brennan State Representative Malcom Kenyatta State Assemblyman Tim Kennedy Councilmember Allen Domb Councilmember Rue Landau Commissioner Bob Harvie Commissioner Diane Marseglia Candidate Heidi Beidinger Candidate Ashley Ehasz Various other State Senators and State Representatives/Assemblymen from Pennsylvania and New York Various city council members from across Pennsylvania and New York Various candidates for political office I will respond to all comments asking if I've met someone or if I think it is probable that I will in the next few years.
Liquidity: $3,568.25. Resolves: 1/16/2033.