Will I (Aella) find someone to seriously date by the end of 2029?
Prediction market on manifold. If myself and a romantic partner both estimate our chances that we'll end up trying a life partnership thing, and our estimates average out to 40% or higher, and it's before the end of 2029, then this market will resolve YES. We don't have to have a 40% or higher estimate at the end of 2029 for this market to resolve YES, it just needs to happen at any point before the end of 2029.
Liquidity: $1,690. Resolves: 1/1/2030.