Will I regret not getting a drivers license in 2023 by 2030?
Prediction market on manifold. Currently in third year in university in Germany and doing fine with my bicycle. On the one hand I have a pretty flexible schedule right now and all else being equal having more options is good. On the other hand, getting a drivers license is expensive and cars even more so. Most driving schools seem to be out to get you. Already lost lots of money (3000€) to one because I got lessons, but didn't pay enough attention to get enough lessons in a short enough timeframe, because of Corona and because I was to intimidated by my driving instructor to explicitly ask about timeframes for my lessons until I could do my driving test. I plan to continue to live in relatively populous cities and don't think it's likely I will want children. Update 2025-08-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified a new scenario that could lead to regret: They are applying for short-term jobs to extend a working holiday visa. They believe the nicer jobs in this context would likely require driving a vehicle.
Liquidity: $1,250. Resolves: 12/31/2030.