Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?
Prediction market on manifold. The price needs to be lower than a business-class flight today, £8k, inflation-adjusted. If the flight is driven by part fossil fuel and part electrical flight it does not count (except for reaching cruise altitude, see discussion in comments!). See a companion market here: (https://manifold.markets/embed/HenriThunberg/will-i-be-able-to-book-a-commercial-8f9bb7623b35)
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2040.