If I attend VibeCamp 5, will I consider it to have been worthwhile?
Prediction market on manifold. Do you think I would enjoy going to Vibecamp? I went to LessOnline/Manifest 2024 and 2025 and enjoyed it a lot. Potential reasons to go: Meet interesting people Learn new things Positive recommendations Issues: I have no Twitter presence and don't really use it or intend to. I feel like I can't take recommendations for vibecamp at face value because postrats believe in manifesting desirable outcomes. I'm not a fan of overt woo, especially when done in an attention seeking manner In general, I consider myself more rationalist than post-rat I'm going to Manifest 2026, and flights from SF to Philly seem pretty expensive (~280$) Resolves YES if I attend and consider it worth the opportunity cost (ticket price + cost of flight versus some alternative destination like visiting Austin). Resolves NO if I attend and do not consider it worth the opportunity cost Resolves at market if I do not attend. I commit to not betting on this market.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/22/2026.