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Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if any market (except for this one to avoid paradoxes) created by this account was either below 10% for a sustained period of time and ends up resolving YES, or above 90% and ends up resolving NO. "Sustained period of time" means: -At least 24 hours -At least 3 distinct human accounts made a trade in the market This definition is because it is common for a market to reach extreme probabilities due to a single trader (usually a newer account) making a very large bet, but these are typically corrected quickly. Resolves N/A if it is clear that manipulation has occurred on other markets in order to influence this market's resolution. I will not bet on this market.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.