Will I have a surprising market resolution before the end of 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if any market (except for this one to avoid paradoxes) created by this account was either below 10% for a sustained period of time and ends up resolving YES, or above 90% and ends up resolving NO. "Sustained period of time" means: -At least 24 hours -At least 3 distinct human accounts made a trade in the market This definition is because it is common for a market to reach extreme probabilities due to a single trader (usually a newer account) making a very large bet, but these are typically corrected quickly. Resolves N/A if it is clear that manipulation has occurred on other markets in order to influence this market's resolution. I will not bet on this market.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.